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RAND:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMRandstad NV Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-12 - not real-time

$10.20

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Rand Capital trades below its short‑term moving averages (20‑day SMA ≈ 10.26, 50‑day SMA ≈ 10.55) and well under the 200‑day SMA (~12.08), confirming a bearish price bias. The RSI sits near 45, the MACD line has just crossed above its signal, and volume is on a downward trend, all pointing to limited upside momentum and a price range bounded by a support around 10.01 and resistance near 10.49. Low beta (≈ 0.24) and a 30‑day volatility of over 21% suggest the stock moves independently of broader markets but can swing sharply.
Fundamentally, the company reports a sizable net loss (trailing EPS –3.14) and a negative profit margin, yet it distributes an 11% dividend yield funded largely by return of capital. Cash reserves are modest relative to debt, and free cash flow, while positive, is insufficient to comfortably sustain the payout. A discounted cash‑flow model values the shares near $6.8, well below the current $10.2 price, indicating the market may be over‑pricing the stock despite its attractive yield.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and near support
  • Decreasing volume and bearish technical setup
  • Dividend payout likely unsustainable given losses

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests significant downside
  • High dividend yield may attract income seekers
  • Continued earnings weakness limits upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent negative earnings and weak profit margins
  • Overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • Potential capital return pressures on dividend sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-38.30%
Profit Margin-162.06%
ROE-15.91%
ROA4.96%
Debt/Equity0.98
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$5.1K
Free Cash Flow$1.6M
Industry P/E17.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.5
Support$10.01
Resistance$10.49
MA 20$10.26
MA 50$10.55
MA 200$12.08
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value$6.78
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield11.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility21.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.